Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Riyadh host Al Kholood in the Saudi Professional League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al Riyadh at 1.18 goals for, 1.89 against; Al Kholood at 1.32 for, 1.61 against. Past meetings favor Al Riyadh slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.88) back Al Riyadh to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Riyadh
30%
Draws
43%
Al Kholood
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Kholood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Al Kholood carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Kholood are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 10%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Riyadh Al Kholood
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.18 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Riyadh
0:2
Oct 23, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood
1:0
Feb 8, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Riyadh
3:2
Aug 29, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood
3:1
Jan 31, 2023 Division 1
Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Riyadh 10 / 100
Al Kholood 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Riyadh Al Kholood

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kholood Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Kholood has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Al Riyadh found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Riyadh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Riyadh VS Al Kholood
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Riyadh

(Home)
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
21 Aug
Al Riyadh
0 : 4
Al Nassr
17 Aug
Al Zulfi
0 : 2
Al Riyadh
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Al Kholood

(Away)
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2
Al Kholood
29 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 1
Al Ahli SC
26 Aug
Al Diriyah
1 : 1
Al Kholood
22 Aug
Al Kholood
3 : 2
Al Taawon
19 Aug
Jeddah Club
0 : 5
Al Kholood
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 5 5 0 0 17:3 15
2 Al Nassr 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
3 Al Qadsiah 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
4 Al Ahli SC 5 3 0 2 11:6 9
5 Al Kholood 5 2 3 0 10:7 9
6 Neom SC 5 3 0 2 7:4 9
7 Al Ettifaq FC 5 3 0 2 8:8 9
8 Al Ittihad 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
9 Al Diriyah 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
10 Al Fayha 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
11 Al Hazem Rass 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
12 Al Riyadh 5 1 1 3 6:16 4
13 Al Shabab 5 0 3 2 5:9 3
14 Al Khaleej 5 0 3 2 2:9 3
15 Al Taawon 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
16 Al Fateh 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
17 Al-Faisaly 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
18 Abha 5 0 1 4 4:11 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)