Sport Picks
Al Riyadh vs Al Okhdood
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh 
Match Events
5'
5'
Toze
Assist: Hazazi S.
46'
46'
Sub
Al Lazam K. In: Al Abbas S.
Out: Al Lazam K.
46'
46'
Sub
Gul G. In: Al-Qahtani M.
Out: Gul G.
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 game between Al Riyadh and Al Okhdood finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Riyadh.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Riyadh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Riyadh come out ahead of Al Okhdood on wins alone.
- 28% — that's where the model lands on Al Okhdood taking it.
- Regular Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Al Riyadh here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 16%
Al Okhdood Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Riyadh | Al Okhdood |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Okhdood
1:0
Jan 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Okhdood vs Al Riyadh
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Okhdood
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Okhdood vs Al Riyadh
0:1
Mar 1, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Okhdood vs Al Riyadh
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Riyadh Compare
Top Goalscorer Toze
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Al Okhdood Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Riyadh 15 / 100
Al Okhdood 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Riyadh Al Okhdood
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Okhdood Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Okhdood has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Al Riyadh's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Al Riyadh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Riyadh VS Al Okhdood
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Riyadh
(Home) 13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0 Al Kholood
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0 Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Neom SC
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3 Al Riyadh
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13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0 Al Kholood
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Neom SC
21 Aug
Al Riyadh
0 : 4 Al Nassr
27 Jul
Al Riyadh
2 : 2 Al-Gharafa
21 May
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Al Okhdood
Page 1 of 3
Al Okhdood
(Away) 14 Sept
Al Wehda
4 : 2 Al Okhdood
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2 Al Najma
31 Aug
Al Saqer
0 : 0 Al Okhdood
26 Aug
Al Bukiryah
1 : 1 Al Okhdood
22 Aug
Al Taee
0 : 2 Al Okhdood
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Al Wehda
4 : 2 Al Okhdood
31 Aug
Al Saqer
0 : 0 Al Okhdood
26 Aug
Al Bukiryah
1 : 1 Al Okhdood
22 Aug
Al Taee
0 : 2 Al Okhdood
21 May
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Al Okhdood
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
