Sport Picks
Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh 
Match Events
7'
7'
Al Salem A.
Assist: Bonsu Baah C.
46'
46'
Sub
Hazazi S. In: Tambakti M. H.
Out: Hazazi S.
46'
46'
Sub
Al Boardi O. In: Sylla M.
Out: Al Boardi O.
AI Match Summary
Al Qadsiah in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Qadsiah.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Qadsiah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Qadsiah lately — more wins on the board than Al Riyadh.
- Win probability leans Al Qadsiah's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Al Qadsiah have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 10%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Riyadh | Al Qadsiah |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 21 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 2.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah
0:4
Jan 4, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Riyadh
4:0
Mar 2, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Riyadh
1:0
Oct 4, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah
2:1
Feb 28, 2023 Division 1
Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Riyadh Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Al Qadsiah Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Salem A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Quinones J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Riyadh 10 / 100
Al Qadsiah 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Riyadh Al Qadsiah
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Qadsiah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Riyadh found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Al Qadsiah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Al Riyadh has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Riyadh VS Al Qadsiah
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Riyadh
(Home) 13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0 Al Kholood
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0 Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Neom SC
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3 Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0 Al Kholood
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Neom SC
21 Aug
Al Riyadh
0 : 4 Al Nassr
27 Jul
Al Riyadh
2 : 2 Al-Gharafa
21 May
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Al Okhdood
Page 1 of 3
Al Qadsiah
(Away) 14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1 Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3 Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1 Al-Faisaly
Page 1 of 7
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
24 Aug
Neom SC
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
17 Aug
Al Taee
0 : 5 Al Qadsiah
13 Aug
Al Shabab
1 : 3 Al Qadsiah
26 Jul
Levante
1 : 0 Al Qadsiah
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
