Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
Al Riyadh Logo

Al Riyadh

1 - 1
FT
Al Shabab Logo

Al Shabab

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Tambakti M. H.
34' Event
Hamdallah A.
45' Event
Toze
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Riyadh
35%
Draws
18%
Al Shabab
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Riyadh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

18% / Low Confidence
  • Al Shabab have won more games recently than Al Riyadh.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 10%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Riyadh Al Shabab
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh
3:3
Apr 5, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab
1:1
Feb 23, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh
3:1
May 15, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab
1:3
Jan 15, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Riyadh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamdallah A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Riyadh 34 / 100
Al Shabab 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Riyadh Al Shabab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shabab Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Al Riyadh scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Al Shabab let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Al Riyadh remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Riyadh VS Al Shabab
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Riyadh

(Home)
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6

Al Shabab

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 34 28 2 4 91:28 86
2 Al Hilal 34 25 9 0 85:27 84
3 Al Ahli SC 34 25 6 3 71:25 81
4 Al Qadsiah 34 23 8 3 83:34 77
5 Al Ittihad 34 16 7 11 55:48 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 59:46 53
7 Al Ettifaq FC 34 14 8 12 51:55 50
8 Neom SC 34 12 9 13 43:48 45
9 Al Hazem Rass 34 11 9 14 38:57 42
10 Al Fayha 34 10 8 16 41:54 38
11 Al Fateh 34 9 10 15 41:55 37
12 Al Khaleej 34 10 7 17 54:62 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 44:57 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 39:61 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 35:63 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 27:70 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 32:76 16
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)