Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Sadd vs Al Arabi (Qatar) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Al Sadd Logo

Al Sadd

2 - 3
FT
Al Arabi (Qatar) Logo

Al Arabi (Qatar)

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Sarabia P.
Assist: Sanchez R.
12' Event
Roberto Firmino
Assist: Romagnoli A.
14' Event
Sarabia P.
Assist: Tannane O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Arabi (Qatar) in this QSL matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Arabi (Qatar).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Sadd
20%
Draws
38%
Al Arabi (Qatar)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Sadd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Sadd lately — more wins on the board than Al Arabi (Qatar).
  • Model gives Al Sadd a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Arabi (Qatar) have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Al Sadd Clean Sheet 18%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sadd Al Arabi (Qatar)
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 22 13
Draws 2 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.61 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 QSL
Al Sadd vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
2:3
Mar 17, 2026 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Sadd
2:1
Jan 19, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Sadd
5:0
Oct 25, 2025 QSL
Al Sadd vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
1:3
Jan 30, 2025 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Sadd
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sadd Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberto Firmino
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soria A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Al Arabi (Qatar) Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarabia P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tannane O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sadd 40 / 100
Al Arabi (Qatar) 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sadd Al Arabi (Qatar)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sadd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sadd's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Al Arabi (Qatar) has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Al Sadd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sadd VS Al Arabi (Qatar)
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sadd

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3
Al Arabi (Qatar)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al Sadd
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1
Al Gharafa
01 Sept
Al Sadd
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
Page 1 of 7

Al Arabi (Qatar)

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3
Al Arabi (Qatar)
21 Sept
Al Duhail
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Sailiya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
29 Aug
Al Duhail
1 : 1
Al Arabi (Qatar)
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
2 Al Sadd 5 4 0 1 21:10 12
3 Al Duhail 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Shamal 5 2 2 1 10:10 8
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al Wakra 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
8 Al Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
9 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
10 Al Gharafa 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
11 Qatar SC 5 0 2 3 4:12 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)