Sport Picks
Match Events
32'
32'
Asad A.
33'
33'
Abdullah M.
46'
46'
Sub
Asad A. In: Claudinho
Out: Asad A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
15%
47%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Markhiya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al-Sadd lately — more wins on the board than Al Markhiya.
- Model gives Al-Sadd a 42% chance of winning this.
- Al-Sadd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Al-Sadd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Al-Sadd Clean Sheet 20%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Sadd | Al Markhiya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 21 | 16 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.7 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 Emir Cup
Al-Sadd vs Al Markhiya
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 QSL Cup
Al-Sadd vs Al Markhiya
2:3
May 9, 2024 Emir Cup
Al-Sadd vs Al Markhiya
3:2
Mar 31, 2024 QSL
Al Markhiya vs Al-Sadd
1:2
Nov 19, 2023 QSL Cup
Al Markhiya vs Al-Sadd
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al-Sadd Compare
Top Goalscorer Mujica R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Al Markhiya Compare
Top Goalscorer Sarr N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Sadd 42 / 100
Al Markhiya 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Sadd Al Markhiya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Sadd's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Al Markhiya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Solid form: Al-Sadd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al-Sadd VS Al Markhiya
2.5 Goals Scored 1.86
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 43%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Sadd
(Home) 14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0 Al-Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6 Al-Sadd
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1 Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1 Al-Gharafa
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6 Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1 Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1 Al-Gharafa
22 Aug
Al-Sadd
3 : 1 Al Ahli
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2 Shamal
16 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 4 Vissel Kobe
Page 1 of 3
Al Markhiya
(Away) 06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2 Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
31 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0 Al Thaid
30 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0 Al Raed
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Al Rayyan 2
0 : 2 Al Markhiya
30 Aug
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
30 Apr
Al Khor
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
12 Apr
Al-Waab
1 : 1 Al Markhiya
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Shamal -
TBD -
Qatar SC -
TBD -
Al-Sadd -
TBD -
Al Markhiya 2
Al Mesaimeer 1
Al-Duhail -
TBD -
Al-Waab 2
Lusail 0
Al-Shahaniya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi (Qatar) -
Al-Gharafa -
TBD -
Al-Kharitiyath 2
Al Bidda 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
Umm-Salal -
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Khor -
Al Wakra -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 2
Muaither SC 1
1/8-finals
Shamal 2
Qatar SC 1
Al-Sadd 2
Al Markhiya 1
Al-Duhail 2
Al-Waab 0
Al-Shahaniya 0
Al Arabi (Qatar) 2
Al-Gharafa 2
Al-Kharitiyath 0
Al Ahli 2
Umm-Salal 4
Al Rayyan 2
Al Khor 0
Al Wakra 2
Al Sailiya 0
Quarter-finals
Shamal 4
Al-Sadd 6
Al-Duhail 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 0
Al-Gharafa 2
Umm-Salal 1
Al Rayyan 0
Al Wakra 3
Semi-finals
Al-Sadd 4
Al-Duhail 1
Al-Gharafa 1
Al Wakra 0
Final
Al-Sadd 1
Al-Gharafa 4
