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Al Sadd vs Lusail - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Sadd host Lusail in the QSL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Al Sadd at 2.48 goals for, 2.03 against; Lusail at 1.39 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Al Sadd have won 1 to Lusail's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2024, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.56, favoring Al Sadd. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Sadd
30%
Draws
39%
Lusail
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lusail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Sadd come out ahead of Lusail on wins alone.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Al Sadd taking it.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Al Sadd Clean Sheet 15%
Lusail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sadd Lusail
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.48 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 QFA Cup
Lusail vs Al Sadd
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sadd 48 / 100
Lusail 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sadd Lusail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sadd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sadd scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Lusail has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Sadd went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sadd VS Lusail
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sadd

(Home)
26 Oct
Al Qadsiah
1 : 1
Al Sadd
22 Oct
Al Shahaniya
0 : 4
Al Sadd
18 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3
Al Duhail
13 Oct
Al Sadd
0 : 2
Al Hilal
09 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3
Al Arabi (Qatar)
Page 1 of 7

Lusail

(Away)
24 Oct
Al Duhail
3 : 1
Lusail
17 Oct
Lusail
0 : 0
Shamal
10 Oct
Al Shahaniya
1 : 0
Lusail
29 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Lusail
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 7 5 2 0 16:3 17
2 Al Sadd 7 5 0 2 27:13 15
3 Al Duhail 7 4 3 0 15:6 15
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 7 3 3 1 16:8 12
5 Al Wakra 7 3 2 2 13:13 11
6 Shamal 7 2 3 2 12:13 9
7 Al Ahli 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
8 Al Shahaniya 7 2 1 4 8:19 7
9 Lusail 7 1 3 3 8:8 6
10 Al Gharafa 7 1 3 3 8:13 6
11 Qatar SC 7 1 3 3 9:16 6
12 Al Sailiya 7 0 1 6 8:26 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)