Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Sadd vs Umm-Salal

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Henrique G.
Assist: Roberto Firmino
20'
Sub
Aholou J. In: Al Hajri S.
Out: Aholou J.
29' Event
Kouassi J. E.
Assist: Cristo

AI Match Summary

The QSL 2025/2026 game between Al-Sadd and Umm-Salal finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umm-Salal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Sadd
6%
Draws
4%
Umm-Salal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Sadd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Sadd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al-Sadd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular QSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Al-Sadd Clean Sheet 20%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Sadd Umm-Salal
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Umm-Salal
2:5
Nov 8, 2025 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Al-Sadd
3:8
Oct 19, 2025 QSL Cup
Al-Sadd vs Umm-Salal
0:5
Feb 7, 2025 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Al-Sadd
0:1
Sep 13, 2024 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Umm-Salal
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Sadd Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Umm-Salal Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouassi J. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cristo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Sadd 85 / 100
Umm-Salal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Sadd Umm-Salal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Sadd found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Umm-Salal conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Umm-Salal's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Sadd VS Umm-Salal
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Sadd

(Home)
17 Jul
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 1
Al-Sadd
09 May
Al-Gharafa
4 : 1
Al-Sadd
05 May
Al-Duhail
1 : 4
Al-Sadd
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6
Al-Sadd
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2
Shamal
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Umm-Salal

(Away)
01 May
Al-Gharafa
2 : 1
Umm-Salal
27 Apr
Umm-Salal
1 : 3
Al Ahli
08 Apr
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Umm-Salal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
28 Mar
Al Rayyan
4 : 3
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Sadd22143556:3045
2Shamal22124639:2840
3Al Rayyan22115646:3238
4Al-Gharafa22113836:3636
5Al-Duhail2296740:2733
6Al Arabi (Qatar)2295837:4132
7Al Wakra2286836:3430
8Qatar SC2285932:3629
9Al Ahli22821234:4326
10Al Sailiya22641225:3822
11Al-Shahaniya22631322:3921
12Umm-Salal22621437:5620
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 2 2026/2027 (Main)