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Al Saham Ad Damer vs Al-Ahly Merowe

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Saham Ad Damer and Al-Ahly Merowe finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Saham Ad Damer
33%
Draws
27%
Al-Ahly Merowe
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Saham Ad Damer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Saham Ad Damer haven't matched Al-Ahly Merowe's recent run of results.
  • Al Saham Ad Damer are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al Saham Ad Damer Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Saham Ad Damer Al-Ahly Merowe
Matches Played 10 28
Wins 2 4
Draws 6 14
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Premier League
Al Saham Ad Damer vs Al-Ahly Merowe
0:0
Jan 19, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ahly Merowe vs Al Saham Ad Damer
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Saham Ad Damer 40 / 100
Al-Ahly Merowe 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Saham Ad Damer Al-Ahly Merowe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Saham Ad Damer's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Al-Ahly Merowe has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Al Saham Ad Damer went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Saham Ad Damer VS Al-Ahly Merowe
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Saham Ad Damer

(Home)
13 Feb
Al Saham Ad Damer
0 : 1
Al Hilal Karima
07 Feb
Al Saham Ad Damer
0 : 0
Al-Ahly Merowe
04 Feb
Al Saham Ad Damer
0 : 0
Alfalah Atbra
31 Jan
Al Saham Ad Damer
1 : 1
Alamal SC Atbara
27 Jan
Al Saham Ad Damer
1 : 2
Al-Merreikh II
Page 1 of 2

Al-Ahly Merowe

(Away)
13 Feb
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 0
Al-Ahly Merowe
07 Feb
Al Saham Ad Damer
0 : 0
Al-Ahly Merowe
03 Feb
Al-Ahly Merowe
1 : 1
Alamal SC Atbara
30 Jan
Al-Merreikh II
0 : 0
Al-Ahly Merowe
26 Jan
Al Hilal Karima
2 : 2
Al-Ahly Merowe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)