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Al Sahel vs Al Ghazieh

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Kadiri S.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Kadiri S.
61' Event
Jaafar H.

AI Match Summary

Al Sahel in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Sahel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al Sahel
28%
Draws
22%
Al Ghazieh
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Al Ghazieh haven't matched Al Sahel's recent run of results.
  • Al Sahel are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Sahel have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ghazieh Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Al Ghazieh
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Al Sahel
0:3
Jun 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Al Sahel
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ghazieh
4:0
Mar 3, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ghazieh
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Al Sahel
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadiri S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaafar H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Ghazieh Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 49 / 100
Al Ghazieh 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Al Ghazieh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ghazieh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Al Sahel found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (38 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Al Sahel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sahel

(Home)
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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Al Ghazieh

(Away)
05 Jul
Al Ghazieh
1 : 4
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
30 Jun
Al Ghazieh
0 : 3
Al Sahel
26 Jun
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Ghazieh
19 Jun
Al Ghazieh
1 : 2
Shabab Baalbeck
14 Jun
Racing
0 : 4
Al Ghazieh
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