Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Sahel vs Bourj

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jouni S.
5' Event
Awada H.
76' Event
Mehanna H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Al Sahel and Bourj finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bourj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Al Sahel
11%
Draws
9%
Bourj
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Al Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Sahel come out ahead of Bourj on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Al Sahel taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 68%
Bourj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Bourj
Matches Played 39 32
Wins 18 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Bourj
1:0
Jun 13, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Bourj
1:2
May 14, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Bourj
0:2
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Bourj vs Al Sahel
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Bourj
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Awada H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bourj Compare

Top Goalscorer Jouni S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mehanna H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 86 / 100
Bourj 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Bourj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sahel scored in 69% of their last 39 games.

Bourj let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Al Sahel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS Bourj
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 60%
0% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sahel

(Home)
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
Page 1 of 8

Bourj

(Away)
30 Dec
Al Ansar
4 : 1
Bourj
25 Dec
Bourj
1 : 4
Al Ahed
19 Dec
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
12 Dec
Bourj
2 : 1
Racing
06 Dec
Al Sahel
1 : 0
Bourj
Page 1 of 7