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Al Sailiya vs Al Ahli

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Sailiya play Al Ahli in the QSL Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Sailiya averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Al Ahli averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, Al Sailiya won 2, Al Ahli won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 3, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Al Sailiya and 1.88 for Al Ahli. This points to a Al Ahli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Sailiya
21%
Draws
40%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Sailiya picked up more points recently compared to Al Ahli.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Al Sailiya Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sailiya Al Ahli
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Sailiya
2:2
Jan 19, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Sailiya vs Al Ahli
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Al Ahli
1:2
Apr 29, 2023 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Sailiya
0:4
Jan 12, 2023 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Al Ahli
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sailiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Anani Y. Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ostadi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelrahman Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sailiya 37 / 100
Al Ahli 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sailiya Al Ahli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Ahli or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Sailiya attacking → ← attacking Al Ahli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sailiya scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Al Ahli let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Al Sailiya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Ahli lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 42
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Rayyan1081132:1725
2Umm-Salal1062226:1720
3Muaither SC1062221:1320
4Al Arabi (Qatar)1061327:1619
5Al-Waab1053216:1118
6Al Markhiya1053213:1218
7Al Sailiya1060416:1718
8Al-Shahaniya1052313:1117
9Shamal1043319:1115
10Al Bidda1043315:1415
11Al Khor1041518:1713
12Al Mesaimeer1034318:1713
13Qatar SC1041523:2313
14Al-Kharitiyath1041519:2013
15Al Ahli1023513:219
16Al-Duhail102354:179
17Lusail1014515:267
18Al Wakra1013617:226
19Al-Gharafa1012712:225
20Al-Sadd1012718:315