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Al Samail vs Al Msnaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Oman Oman

Professional League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Samail host Al Msnaa in the Professional League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Al Samail at 1.07 goals for, 1.75 against; Al Msnaa at 0.9 for, 1.14 against. Past meetings favor Al Samail slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 17, 2017, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.25, favoring Al Samail. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Al Samail
35%
Draws
41%
Al Msnaa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Msnaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Msnaa come out ahead of Al Samail on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Samail Clean Sheet 19%
Al Msnaa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Samail Al Msnaa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2017 Sultan Cup
Al Samail vs Al Msnaa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Samail 32 / 100
Al Msnaa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Samail Al Msnaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Msnaa let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Samail stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Al Samail scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Samail VS Al Msnaa
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Samail

(Home)
01 Oct
Al Nasr
3 : 3
Al Samail
25 Sept
Al Samail
5 : 5
Dhofar
20 Sept
Sur Club
3 : 1
Al Samail
10 Sept
Al Samail
0 : 0
Fanja SC
05 Sept
Ibri
4 : 0
Al Samail
Page 1 of 6

Al Msnaa

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Msnaa
4 : 1
Sohar
01 Oct
Al Msnaa
2 : 2
Ibri
25 Sept
Saham
1 : 1
Al Msnaa
21 Sept
Al Msnaa
0 : 1
Al Shabab
12 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Al Msnaa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Al Seeb 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Al Nahda 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 Al Shabab 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
5 Saham 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
6 Oman Club 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
7 Sohar 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
8 Ibri 3 1 1 1 5:2 4
9 Al Samail 3 1 1 1 1:4 4
10 Bahla 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
11 Dhofar 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
12 Fanja SC 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
13 Al Msnaa 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
14 Sur Club 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)