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Al-Samail vs Bahla

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
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Match Events

14' Event
Al Shikaili A.

AI Match Summary

The Professional League 2025/2026 game between Al-Samail and Bahla finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bahla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Al-Samail
15%
Draws
59%
Bahla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bahla come out ahead of Al-Samail on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bahla a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bahla have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al-Samail Clean Sheet 20%
Bahla Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Samail Bahla
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Professional League
Al-Samail vs Bahla
0:1
Feb 8, 2026 Professional League
Bahla vs Al-Samail
4:1
Aug 29, 2025 FA Cup
Al-Samail vs Bahla
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Samail Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Bahla Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Shikaili A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Samail 10 / 100
Bahla 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Samail Bahla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Samail scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Bahla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al-Samail stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Samail VS Bahla
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Samail

(Home)
10 Sept
Al-Samail
0 : 0
Fanja SC
05 Sept
Ibri
4 : 0
Al-Samail
31 Aug
Al-Samail
1 : 0
Saham
25 Aug
Al-Samail
0 : 2
Oman Club
23 May
Al-Samail
0 : 1
Bahla
Page 1 of 6

Bahla

(Away)
11 Sept
Sur Club
1 : 3
Bahla
05 Sept
Saham
1 : 0
Bahla
30 Aug
Bahla
1 : 3
Al Seeb
24 Aug
Bahla
3 : 0
Dhofar
18 Aug
Sur Club
0 : 5
Bahla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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