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Al-Samail vs Sohar

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Al Muqbali S.
32' Event
Al Mushaifri H.
57' Event
Al Mushaifri H.

AI Match Summary

Al-Samail in this Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Samail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Al-Samail
30%
Draws
51%
Sohar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sohar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sohar lately — more wins on the board than Al-Samail.
  • Win probability leans Sohar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sohar have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al-Samail Clean Sheet 20%
Sohar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Samail Sohar
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Professional League
Al-Samail vs Sohar
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 Professional League
Sohar vs Al-Samail
1:0
Oct 7, 2018 Sultan Cup
Al-Samail vs Sohar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Samail Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mushaifri H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sohar Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Muqbali S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Samail 10 / 100
Sohar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Samail Sohar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sohar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Samail scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Sohar conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al-Samail stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Samail VS Sohar
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Samail

(Home)
10 Sept
Al-Samail
0 : 0
Fanja SC
05 Sept
Ibri
4 : 0
Al-Samail
31 Aug
Al-Samail
1 : 0
Saham
25 Aug
Al-Samail
0 : 2
Oman Club
23 May
Al-Samail
0 : 1
Bahla
Page 1 of 6

Sohar

(Away)
11 Sept
Sohar
0 : 0
Dhofar
06 Sept
Fanja SC
0 : 1
Sohar
31 Aug
Sohar
0 : 0
Ibri
25 Aug
Ibri
1 : 3
Sohar
19 Aug
Sohar
2 : 1
Saham
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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