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Al-Saqr vs Al Hilal

Yemen Yemen

Division 1 2023
Fri, Sep 15, 2023
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Saqr play Al Hilal in the Division 1 2023. Al-Saqr are favorites here. Recently, Al-Saqr averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Al Hilal averaged 0.47 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Al-Saqr won 2, Al Hilal won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Oct 1, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al-Saqr and 1.00 for Al Hilal. This points to a Al-Saqr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Al-Saqr
25%
Draws
15%
Al Hilal
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Al-Saqr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Saqr picked up more points recently compared to Al Hilal.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29%
Al-Saqr Clean Sheet 23%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 46%
Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Saqr Al Hilal
Matches Played 13 17
Wins 5 3
Draws 2 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.15 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 Division 1
Al-Saqr vs Al Hilal
0:0
Sep 15, 2023 Division 1
Al-Saqr vs Al Hilal
0:0
Mar 6, 2015 Division 1
Al Hilal vs Al-Saqr
0:0
Nov 28, 2014 Division 1
Al-Saqr vs Al Hilal
2:1
Apr 25, 2014 Division 1
Al Hilal vs Al-Saqr
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Saqr 59 / 100
Al Hilal 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Saqr Al Hilal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Saqr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Al-Saqr & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al-Saqr attacking → ← attacking Al Hilal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Saqr scored in 54% of their last 13 games.

Al Hilal let in goals in 59% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Al-Saqr went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Hilal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 16
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ahli1081121:225
2Tadamone Hadramout1053214:1018
3Al Oruba1034313:1013
4Al-Ittihad103258:1211
5Al Hilal102535:1411
6Samaon101186:194
7Al-Saqr00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Wahda1063113:821
2Al Shabab Hadramaut1053216:1018
3Fhman1042417:1214
4Salam1032513:1311
5Al Rawda103257:1711
6Al-Shaab Ibb1022613:198
7Taliat Taiz00000:00