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Al-Shaab Ibb vs Al Ahli

Yemen Yemen

Division 1 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Al-Shaab Ibb host Al Ahli in the Division 1 2021. Al Ahli go into this one as the clear favorite. Al Ahli have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Al-Shaab Ibb have conceded 2 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Al Ahli slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 24, 2021, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Al Ahli to edge this. Al Ahli in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Al-Shaab Ibb
17%
Draws
70%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ahli has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al-Shaab Ibb.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Al Ahli.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 2021 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Al-Shaab Ibb Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Shaab Ibb Al Ahli
Matches Played 25 42
Wins 9 24
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2021 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al-Shaab Ibb
1:0
Sep 28, 2021 Division 1
Al-Shaab Ibb vs Al Ahli
0:1
Mar 7, 2015 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al-Shaab Ibb
0:0
Nov 29, 2014 Division 1
Al-Shaab Ibb vs Al Ahli
2:1
May 2, 2014 Division 1
Al-Shaab Ibb vs Al Ahli
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Shaab Ibb 16 / 100
Al Ahli 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Shaab Ibb Al Ahli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Shaab Ibb scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

Al Ahli let in goals in 38% of their last 42 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Al-Shaab Ibb went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Al Ahli lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Shaab Ibb VS Al Ahli
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Wahda1062214:820
2Fhman1043316:1215
3Al Shabab Hadramaut103618:515
4Al Oruba1033413:1512
5Al-Ittihad102538:1011
6Shabab Al Jeel100557:165
7Al-Tilal00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahli851210:416
2Al-Saqr83238:811
3Al Helal Al Sahely83238:911
4Al Yarmuk82338:129
5Al-Shaab Ibb82248:98
6Al-Wahda Aden00000:00
7Al Shula00000:00