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Al Shabab vs Al Ahli

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Makki A.
55' Event
Carlos Junior
61' Event
Carlos Junior

AI Match Summary

Al Shabab in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Shabab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Al Shabab
35%
Draws
37%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahli lately — more wins on the board than Al Shabab.
  • Win probability leans Al Shabab's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 18%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shabab Al Ahli
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.76 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.02 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Al Shabab vs Al Ahli
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Junior
2 Goals
Assists Leader Makki A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 1.01

Al Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 40 / 100
Al Ahli 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shabab Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shabab Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shabab found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Ahli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Shabab stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shabab VS Al Ahli
1.75 Goals Scored 1.14
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.29
75% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shabab

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
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Al Ahli

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al-Shahaniya
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Al Ahli
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
22 Aug
Al-Sadd
3 : 1
Al Ahli
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