Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Baattia S.
33'
33'
Al Thani M.
36'
36'
Bendebka S.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Fateh haven't matched Al Shabab's recent run of results.
- Al Shabab are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 20%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Shabab | Al Fateh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 28, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Fateh
1:1
Jan 3, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Shabab
2:0
May 1, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Shabab
3:1
Dec 5, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Fateh
2:2
May 27, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Fateh
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Shabab 42 / 100
Al Fateh 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Shabab Al Fateh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Fateh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Attacking prowess: Al Shabab scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Al Shabab has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Shabab VS Al Fateh
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Shabab
(Home) 12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0 Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1 Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2 Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1 Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3 Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0 Al Fayha
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2 Al Hilal
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3 Al Riyadh
13 Aug
Al Shabab
1 : 3 Al Qadsiah
03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1 MC Alger
Page 1 of 4
Al Fateh
(Away) 13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2 Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2 Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0 Al Fateh
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
26 Aug
Al Faisaly
1 : 1 Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2 Al Fateh
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0 Al Fateh
26 Aug
Al Faisaly
1 : 1 Al Fateh
19 Aug
Al Ula
3 : 0 Al Fateh
15 Aug
Al Nassr
3 : 0 Al Fateh
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
