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Al Shabab vs Al Jahra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kuwait Kuwait

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Al Qahtani M.
56' Event
Mateus Toto
(Penalty)
64' Event
Al Dhaferi A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Shabab and Al Jahra finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Shabab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Shabab
20%
Draws
40%
Al Jahra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Shabab come out ahead of Al Jahra on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Shabab here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 68%
Al Jahra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shabab Al Jahra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0.93 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Premier League
Al Shabab vs Al Jahra
3:2
Jun 21, 2026 Premier League
Al Shabab vs Al Jahra
1:2
Jun 11, 2026 Premier League
Al Shabab vs Al Jahra
1:0
Dec 19, 2025 Premier League
Al Jahra vs Al Shabab
1:2
May 3, 2025 Division 1
Al Shabab vs Al Jahra
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Qahtani M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mateus Toto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Jahra Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Salama F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 41 / 100
Al Jahra 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shabab Al Jahra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shabab Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Jahra let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Al Shabab scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Shabab remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Shabab VS Al Jahra
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shabab

(Home)
06 Sept
Al Shabab
2 : 3
Kazma SC
31 Aug
Al Sulaibikhat
1 : 1
Al Shabab
26 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 2
Al Jahra
26 Jun
Al Tadamon
1 : 3
Al Shabab
21 Jun
Al Shabab
1 : 2
Al Jahra
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Al Jahra

(Away)
05 Sept
Al Kuwait
1 : 0
Al Jahra
30 Aug
Al Jahra
2 : 1
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
26 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 2
Al Jahra
26 Jun
Al Naser
1 : 1
Al Jahra
21 Jun
Al Shabab
1 : 2
Al Jahra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Kuwait 4 3 1 0 12:4 10
2 Kazma SC 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
3 Al Qadisiya 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
4 Al Salmiya 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 Al Naser 4 2 0 2 5:12 6
6 Al Shabab 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
7 Al Sahel 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
8 Al Fahaheel 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
9 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 4 0 3 1 8:9 3
10 Al Jahra 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
11 Al Sulaibikhat 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
12 Al Tadamon 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Arab Club Champions Cup 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)