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Al Shabab vs Al Nahda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Oman Oman

Professional League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Al Ghafri M.
13' Event
Al Ghafri M.
72' Event
Doesburg P.

AI Match Summary

Al Nahda in this Professional League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nahda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Shabab
35%
Draws
24%
Al Nahda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Shabab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Nahda lately — more wins on the board than Al Shabab.
  • Al Shabab are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 68%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shabab Al Nahda
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 17 19
Draws 5 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Nahda
2:3
Aug 24, 2026 FA Cup
Al Shabab vs Al Nahda
1:1
May 23, 2026 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al Shabab
2:3
Feb 25, 2026 Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Nahda
3:1
Oct 6, 2025 FA Cup
Al Nahda vs Al Shabab
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Doesburg P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al-Muqbali A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Al Nahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghafri M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Harthi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 59 / 100
Al Nahda 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shabab Al Nahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shabab Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shabab found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Al Nahda conceded in 67% of 42 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al Shabab stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shabab VS Al Nahda
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shabab

(Home)
02 Oct
Al Shabab
2 : 1
Saham
21 Sept
Al Msnaa
0 : 1
Al Shabab
11 Sept
Oman Club
0 : 2
Al Shabab
05 Sept
Al Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
31 Aug
Sur Club
2 : 3
Al Shabab
Page 1 of 6

Al Nahda

(Away)
02 Oct
Al Nahda
2 : 1
Sohar
25 Sept
Ibri
0 : 0
Al Nahda
21 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Saham
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Al Seeb 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Al Nahda 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 Al Shabab 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
5 Saham 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
6 Oman Club 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
7 Sohar 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
8 Ibri 3 1 1 1 5:2 4
9 Al Samail 3 1 1 1 1:4 4
10 Bahla 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
11 Dhofar 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
12 Fanja SC 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
13 Al Msnaa 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
14 Sur Club 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
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