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Al-Shabab vs Al Nahda

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Markneh C.
37' Event
Saindou Y.
54' Event
Saindou Y.

AI Match Summary

Al-Shabab in this Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Shabab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al-Shabab
35%
Draws
27%
Al Nahda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al-Shabab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Al-Shabab at 1.93 per game, Al Nahda at 1.31.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Al-Shabab taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Al-Shabab Clean Sheet 68%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Shabab Al Nahda
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 17 17
Draws 5 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Professional League
Al-Shabab vs Al Nahda
2:3
Aug 24, 2026 FA Cup
Al-Shabab vs Al Nahda
1:1
May 23, 2026 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al-Shabab
2:3
Feb 25, 2026 Professional League
Al-Shabab vs Al Nahda
3:1
Oct 6, 2025 FA Cup
Al Nahda vs Al-Shabab
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Saindou Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Markneh C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Nahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghassani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Shabab 50 / 100
Al Nahda 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Shabab Al Nahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Shabab Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Al-Shabab's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Nahda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 39 matches.

Solid form: Al-Shabab remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Shabab VS Al Nahda
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Shabab

(Home)
21 Sept
Al-Msnaa
0 : 1
Al-Shabab
11 Sept
Oman Club
0 : 2
Al-Shabab
05 Sept
Al-Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
31 Aug
Sur Club
2 : 3
Al-Shabab
24 Aug
Al-Shabab
1 : 1
Al Nahda
Page 1 of 6

Al Nahda

(Away)
25 Sept
Ibri
0 : 0
Al Nahda
21 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Saham
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
05 Sept
Al-Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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