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Al Shabab vs Al Nasr

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Carlos Junior

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Al Shabab and Al Nasr finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Shabab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Al Shabab
35%
Draws
45%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Nasr carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 16%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shabab Al Nasr
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.93 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Al Shabab vs Al Nasr
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Junior
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Nasr Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 31 / 100
Al Nasr 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shabab Al Nasr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shabab found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Nasr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Al Shabab has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Shabab VS Al Nasr
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shabab

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
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Al Nasr

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1
United FC
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Ain
2 : 1
Al Nasr
21 Aug
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Wahda
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