Sport Picks

Kuwait

Division 1 2024/2025

Burgan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Shabab play Burgan in the Division 1 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Shabab averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Burgan averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Al Shabab won 3, Burgan won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 15, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Al Shabab and 1.74 for Burgan. This points to a Al Shabab double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Al Shabab

35%

Draws

29%

Burgan

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Shabab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Al Shabab picked up more points recently compared to Burgan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.74 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Al Shabab Clean Sheet 12%

Burgan Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Shabab	Burgan
Matches Played	33	31
Wins	8	7
Draws	11	11
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	0.94	1.16
Goals Conceded	1.7	1.61
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2025 Division 1

Al Shabab vs Burgan

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 0 - 1

3:2

Apr 20, 2025 Division 1

Burgan vs Al Shabab

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Feb 23, 2025 Division 1

Al Shabab vs Burgan

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Jan 23, 2025 Division 1

Burgan vs Al Shabab

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Apr 8, 2023 Division 1

Burgan vs Al Shabab

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 35 / 100

Burgan 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Shabab Burgan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Shabab or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Shabab attacking → ← attacking Burgan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shabab scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Burgan let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Al Shabab went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Burgan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 32

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.86

2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.71

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Jahra	16	7	5	4	22:20	26
2	Al Shabab	16	5	7	4	22:19	22
3	Al Sulaibikhat	16	4	9	3	25:22	21
4	Burgan	16	4	7	5	17:19	19
5	Al Sahel	16	3	6	7	14:20	15