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Al-Shabbab vs Al-Ittihad

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup 2023/2024
Sat, Dec 9, 2023
2 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Annan A. W.
48' Event
78' Event

AI Match Summary

Al-Ittihad in this King's Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Al-Shabbab
15%
Draws
0%
Al-Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Shabbab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Ittihad have won more games recently than Al-Shabbab.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Al-Shabbab taking it.
  • Al-Ittihad arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Ittihad, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al-Shabbab Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Shabbab Al-Ittihad
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 1
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.69 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2023 King's Cup
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Ittihad
2:3
Dec 2, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Shabbab
3:2
Nov 7, 2020 Bahrain Cup
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Ittihad
1:1
Nov 18, 2019 Bahrain Cup
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Shabbab
0:3
Feb 3, 2018 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Ittihad
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Shabbab Compare

Top Goalscorer Annan A. W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Ittihad Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Shabbab 67 / 100
Al-Ittihad 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Shabbab Al-Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Shabbab Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ittihad let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Al-Ittihad registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Al-Shabbab scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al-Shabbab VS Al-Ittihad
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Shabbab

(Home)
15 May
Al-Hidd
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
05 May
Al Riffa
4 : 0
Al-Shabbab
28 Apr
Al-Shabbab
1 : 0
Bahrain SC
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
Page 1 of 7

Al-Ittihad

(Away)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al-Ittihad
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1
Al-Ittihad
11 Jan
Al-Ittihad
1 : 5
Al-Ittifaq
24 Jan
Al-Ittihad
2 : 3
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Sitra 0
Busaiteen 1
Al-Ahli 4
Umm Al Hassam 0
Manama Club 4
East Riffa 0
Al-Hidd 2
Al-Ittifaq 3
Al-Muharraq 1
Qalali 0
Al Riffa 5
Ali CSC 0
Al Khalidiyah 3
Al-Hala 1
Al-Shabbab 2
Al-Ittihad 3
Quarter-finals
Busaiteen 0
Al-Ahli 1
Manama Club 2
Al-Ittifaq 0
Al-Muharraq 2
Al Riffa 1
Al Khalidiyah 4
Al-Ittihad 0
Semi-finals
Al-Ahli 3
Manama Club 1
Al-Muharraq 1
Al Khalidiyah 0
Final
Al-Ahli 2
Al-Muharraq 1