Sport Picks

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Al-Shabbab vs Sitra

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Namnganda K.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Bruno Bezerra
45' Event
Al Qassab H.

AI Match Summary

Sitra in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sitra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al-Shabbab
33%
Draws
40%
Sitra
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sitra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Shabbab haven't matched Sitra's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sitra taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Al-Shabbab Clean Sheet 23%
Sitra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Shabbab Sitra
Matches Played 34 37
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Sitra
1:3
Jan 2, 2026 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Shabbab
1:1
May 6, 2025 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Shabbab
1:1
Dec 13, 2024 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Sitra
2:2
May 3, 2024 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Shabbab
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Shabbab Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Qassab H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Sitra Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Bezerra
1 Goals
Assists Leader Namnganda K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Shabbab 29 / 100
Sitra 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Shabbab Sitra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Al-Shabbab's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Sitra has conceded goals in 62% of their last 37 outings.

Solid form: Al-Shabbab remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Shabbab VS Sitra
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Shabbab

(Home)
15 May
Al-Hidd
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
05 May
Al Riffa
4 : 0
Al-Shabbab
28 Apr
Al-Shabbab
1 : 0
Bahrain SC
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
Page 1 of 7

Sitra

(Away)
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0
Malkia
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
05 May
Sitra
0 : 2
Al-Ahli
27 Apr
Aali Club
0 : 2
Sitra
18 Apr
Sitra
1 : 3
Al Khalidiyah
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq22174145:755
2Al Khalidiyah22180442:1654
3Al Riffa22154341:1749
4Malkia2296723:1633
5Aali Club2294919:2031
6Al-Hidd2286829:2330
7Al-Ahli2276928:2827
8Sitra2276922:3127
9Al-Budaiya22641224:3422
10Al-Najma22641221:3522
11Al-Shabbab2235148:3414
12Bahrain SC22211915:567
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)