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Al-Shabbab vs Sitra

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Namnganda K.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Bruno Bezerra
45' Event
Al Qassab H.

AI Match Summary

Sitra in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sitra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Al-Shabbab
20%
Draws
63%
Sitra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sitra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Al-Shabbab haven't matched Sitra's recent run of results.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Sitra taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Al-Shabbab Clean Sheet 23%
Sitra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Shabbab Sitra
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.6 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Sitra
1:3
Jan 2, 2026 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Shabbab
1:1
May 6, 2025 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Shabbab
1:1
Dec 13, 2024 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Sitra
2:2
May 3, 2024 Premier League
Sitra vs Al-Shabbab
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Shabbab Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Qassab H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sitra Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Bezerra
1 Goals
Assists Leader Namnganda K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Shabbab 10 / 100
Sitra 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Shabbab Sitra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sitra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Al-Shabbab's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sitra has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Al-Shabbab remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Shabbab VS Sitra
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Shabbab

(Home)
15 May
Al-Hidd
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
05 May
Al Riffa
4 : 0
Al-Shabbab
28 Apr
Al-Shabbab
1 : 0
Bahrain SC
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
Page 1 of 6

Sitra

(Away)
12 Sept
Sitra
0 : 0
Al-Hidd
02 Sept
East Riffa
0 : 0
Sitra
27 Aug
Sitra
3 : 0
Malkia
16 May
Sitra
1 : 0
Malkia
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al-Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al-Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al-Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al-Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al-Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)