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Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Shahaniya host Al Ahli in the QSL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Al Ahli have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while Al Shahaniya have conceded 1.83 and scored 1.24. Past meetings favor Al Ahli slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.81) back Al Shahaniya to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Al Shahaniya
20%
Draws
36%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Shahaniya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Al Shahaniya have won more games recently than Al Ahli.
  • Win probability leans Al Ahli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Shahaniya Clean Sheet 11%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shahaniya Al Ahli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Shahaniya
0:1
Feb 27, 2026 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Shahaniya
1:2
Sep 26, 2025 QSL
Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli
1:2
May 13, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Shahaniya
2:1
Apr 4, 2025 QSL
Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shahaniya 10 / 100
Al Ahli 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shahaniya Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Ahli conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Al Shahaniya found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Shahaniya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shahaniya VS Al Ahli
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shahaniya

(Home)
22 Oct
Al Shahaniya
0 : 4
Al Sadd
16 Oct
Al Shahaniya
0 : 6
Al Arabi (Qatar)
10 Oct
Al Shahaniya
1 : 0
Lusail
28 Sept
Al Shahaniya
1 : 3
Al Duhail
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Shahaniya
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahli

(Away)
22 Oct
Al Gharafa
2 : 2
Al Ahli
16 Oct
Al Ahli
0 : 3
Al Wakra
10 Oct
Al Ahli
5 : 0
Al Sailiya
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1
Al Ahli
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Shahaniya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 7 5 2 0 16:3 17
2 Al Sadd 7 5 0 2 27:13 15
3 Al Duhail 7 4 3 0 15:6 15
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 7 3 3 1 16:8 12
5 Al Wakra 7 3 2 2 13:13 11
6 Shamal 7 2 3 2 12:13 9
7 Al Ahli 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
8 Al Shahaniya 7 2 1 4 8:19 7
9 Lusail 7 1 3 3 8:8 6
10 Al Gharafa 7 1 3 3 8:13 6
11 Qatar SC 7 1 3 3 9:16 6
12 Al Sailiya 7 0 1 6 8:26 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)