Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Shahaniya vs Shamal

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup 2025/2026 Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Al-Shahaniya Logo

Al-Shahaniya

1 - 0
FT
Shamal Logo

Shamal

Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Bounacer A.
54'
Sub
Hassan A. In: Al Raeesi M.
Out: Hassan A.
60'
Sub
Azadi F. In: Al Saeed A.
Out: Azadi F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Al-Shahaniya advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al-Shahaniya
30%
Draws
37%
Shamal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Shamal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Shamal are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Shamal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Shahaniya, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al-Shahaniya Clean Sheet 23%
Shamal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Shahaniya Shamal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 QSL
Shamal vs Al-Shahaniya
4:2
Apr 8, 2026 QSL
Al-Shahaniya vs Shamal
2:0
Jan 27, 2026 QSL Cup
Al-Shahaniya vs Shamal
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al-Shahaniya
4:0
Sep 23, 2025 QSL Cup
Al-Shahaniya vs Shamal
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Shahaniya 24 / 100
Shamal 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Shahaniya Shamal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shamal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamal let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Al-Shahaniya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al-Shahaniya's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Shahaniya VS Shamal
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Shahaniya

(Home)
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al-Shahaniya
12 Sept
Al-Duhail
1 : 1
Al-Shahaniya
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al-Shahaniya
29 Aug
Al-Shahaniya
3 : 2
Al Sailiya
21 Aug
Al-Gharafa
2 : 1
Al-Shahaniya
Page 1 of 6

Shamal

(Away)
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Shamal
4 : 2
Al-Shahaniya
01 Sept
Shamal
3 : 4
Al Rayyan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Rayyan -
TBD -
Al-Shahaniya 1
Shamal 0
Umm-Salal -
TBD -
Al Sailiya 1
Al Bidda 3
Muaither SC 2
Al-Kharitiyath 0
Al Markhiya 2
Al Khor 1
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Qatar SC 2
Al-Waab 3
Al Mesaimeer 1
Quarter-finals
Al Rayyan 3
Al-Shahaniya 0
Umm-Salal 2
Al Bidda 0
Muaither SC 3
Al Markhiya 2
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Al-Waab 1
Semi-finals
Al Rayyan 4
Umm-Salal 3
Muaither SC 4
Al Arabi (Qatar) 3
Final
Al Rayyan 2
Muaither SC 0