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Al Sharjah vs Al Dhafra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

League Cup Sharjah Stadium, Sharjah
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Lorran
Assist: Coronado I.
46'
Sub
Mohammed Z. In: Djooh R.
Out: Mohammed Z.
46'
Sub
Marcelinho In: Ibrahim M.
Out: Marcelinho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Al Sharjah
15%
Draws
26%
Al Dhafra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Sharjah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Sharjah have won more games recently than Al Dhafra.
  • Al Sharjah are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Al Sharjah have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Sharjah, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Sharjah have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al Sharjah Clean Sheet 20%
Al Dhafra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sharjah Al Dhafra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.68 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.71 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 League Cup
Al Sharjah vs Al Dhafra
2:1
Aug 15, 2026 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Al Sharjah
1:3
Jan 28, 2026 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Al Sharjah
0:2
Oct 17, 2025 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Al Dhafra
2:0
Apr 9, 2023 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Al Dhafra
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sharjah Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorran
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coronado I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Al Dhafra Compare

Top Goalscorer Komari D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sharjah 67 / 100
Al Dhafra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sharjah Al Dhafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sharjah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Dhafra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Al Sharjah scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Al Sharjah has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Sharjah VS Al Dhafra
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sharjah

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Sharjah
0 : 0
Al Jazira
01 Oct
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Al Dhafra
19 Sept
Ajman
3 : 2
Al Sharjah
11 Sept
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Al Sharjah
05 Sept
Al Sharjah
4 : 3
United FC
Page 1 of 7

Al Dhafra

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Wahda
2 : 0
Al Dhafra
01 Oct
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Al Dhafra
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
11 Sept
Hatta
1 : 2
Al Dhafra
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wasl 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Ajman 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
3 Al Nasr 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
4 Al Jazira 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
5 Bani Yas 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
6 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
7 Al Sharjah 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Ittihad Kalba 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
9 Al Wahda 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
10 United FC 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
11 Al Ain 3 0 1 2 6:8 1
12 Hatta 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
13 Khorfakkan 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
14 Al Dhafra 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)