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Al Sharjah vs Al Nasr Prediction & H2H Stats

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Sharjah Stadium, Sharjah
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Match Events

14'
Leandrinho
30' Event
Milivojevic L.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Ben Larbi F. In: Matheus Saldanha
Out: Ben Larbi F.

AI Match Summary

Al Nasr in this UAE League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nasr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Sharjah
20%
Draws
29%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Sharjah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Sharjah have won more games recently than Al Nasr.
  • Model gives Al Sharjah a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Al Sharjah Clean Sheet 16%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sharjah Al Nasr
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.71 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Al Nasr
1:2
Jan 6, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Al Sharjah
2:4
Apr 18, 2025 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Al Sharjah
2:1
Nov 22, 2024 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Al Nasr
3:0
Oct 18, 2024 Presidents Cup
Al Nasr vs Al Sharjah
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sharjah Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sharjah 48 / 100
Al Nasr 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sharjah Al Nasr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sharjah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Al Sharjah scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Al Sharjah has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Sharjah VS Al Nasr
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sharjah

(Home)
01 Oct
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Al Dhafra
19 Sept
Ajman
3 : 2
Al Sharjah
11 Sept
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Al Sharjah
05 Sept
Al Sharjah
4 : 3
United FC
30 Aug
Hatta
0 : 3
Al Sharjah
Page 1 of 7

Al Nasr

(Away)
02 Oct
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1
United FC
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Ain
2 : 1
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)