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Al Sharjah vs Khorfakkan

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Sharjah Stadium, Sharjah
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Luan Pereira
Assist: Ben Larbi F.
22'
Sub
El Refaey A. In: Ali Shakir M.
Out: El Refaey A.
25'
Al Ameri Y.

AI Match Summary

Al Sharjah in this UAE League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Sharjah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Sharjah
44%
Draws
20%
Khorfakkan
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Sharjah have won more games recently than Khorfakkan.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Sharjah have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Sharjah Clean Sheet 11%
Khorfakkan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sharjah Khorfakkan
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Khorfakkan
3:1
Sep 11, 2025 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Al Sharjah
2:2
May 22, 2025 UAE League
Khorfakkan vs Al Sharjah
2:4
Jan 11, 2025 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Khorfakkan
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 League Cup
Al Sharjah vs Khorfakkan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sharjah Compare

Top Goalscorer Luan Pereira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suhail H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Khorfakkan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayque Campos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sharjah 35 / 100
Khorfakkan 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sharjah Khorfakkan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KHO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Al Sharjah found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Khorfakkan has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Al Sharjah went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sharjah VS Khorfakkan
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sharjah

(Home)
19 Jul
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Abha
15 May
Al Sharjah
3 : 1
Khorfakkan
10 May
Al Bataeh
0 : 0
Al Sharjah
06 May
Al Sharjah
0 : 5
Al Ain
23 Apr
Al Sharjah
0 : 2
Al Wahda
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Khorfakkan

(Away)
15 May
Al Sharjah
3 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 May
Khorfakkan
1 : 1
Al Wahda
05 May
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 0
Khorfakkan
29 Apr
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
3 : 3
Khorfakkan
11 Apr
Khorfakkan
1 : 1
Al Bataeh
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ain26215062:1868
2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai26177260:1858
3Al Wasl26146639:2948
4Al Jazira26135846:3044
5Al Wahda261010638:2640
6Al Nasr26911636:3438
7Ajman26951227:3432
8Al Sharjah26851335:4729
9Khorfakkan26691135:4527
10Bani Yas26761329:4327
11Ittihad Kalba26591229:4524
12Al Dhafra26641628:5222
13Al Bataeh26491324:3721
14Dibba Al Fujairah26551625:5520
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)