Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Shomooa vs Ittihad Gharyan

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Shomooa in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Shomooa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Al Shomooa
20%
Draws
23%
Ittihad Gharyan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Shomooa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Shomooa have won more games recently than Ittihad Gharyan.
  • Al Shomooa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Shomooa Clean Sheet 20%
Ittihad Gharyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shomooa Ittihad Gharyan
Matches Played 16 16
Wins 6 2
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Premier League
Ittihad Gharyan vs Al Shomooa
1:1
Jan 29, 2026 Premier League
Al Shomooa vs Ittihad Gharyan
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shomooa 85 / 100
Ittihad Gharyan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shomooa Ittihad Gharyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shomooa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shomooa found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (16 games).

Ittihad Gharyan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 16 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Shomooa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Shomooa VS Ittihad Gharyan
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shomooa

(Home)
25 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 8
Al Shomooa
20 Apr
Al Shomooa
2 : 0
Al-Majd
15 Apr
Ittihad Gharyan
1 : 1
Al Shomooa
11 Apr
Al Shomooa
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Misurata
16 Mar
Al Tirsana
3 : 1
Al Shomooa
Page 1 of 4

Ittihad Gharyan

(Away)
26 Apr
Ittihad Gharyan
0 : 2
Al-Ittihad
20 Apr
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 0
Ittihad Gharyan
15 Apr
Ittihad Gharyan
1 : 1
Al Shomooa
10 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 1
Ittihad Gharyan
16 Mar
Ittihad Gharyan
0 : 2
Al-Majd
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)