Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Shorta vs Al Gharraf

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Qasim A.

AI Match Summary

Al Shorta in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Shorta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Al Shorta
30%
Draws
6%
Al Gharraf
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Al Gharraf haven't matched Al Shorta's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Shorta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Al Shorta have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 68%
Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Al Gharraf
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.82 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Al Shorta
1:2
May 10, 2026 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Gharraf
1:0
Feb 4, 2026 Stars League
Al Gharraf vs Al Shorta
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Qasim A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Al Gharraf Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 95 / 100
Al Gharraf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Al Gharraf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shorta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Shorta scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Gharraf conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Al Shorta went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Al Gharraf
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
16 Sept
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Seeb
12 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
08 Sept
Al Gharraf
1 : 2
Al Shorta
04 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Erbil
Page 1 of 7

Al Gharraf

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
12 Sept
Diyala
3 : 1
Al Gharraf
08 Sept
Al Gharraf
1 : 2
Al Shorta
03 Sept
Al Kahraba
0 : 0
Al Gharraf
30 Aug
Al Gharraf
0 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)