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Al Shorta vs Al-Mergheni

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Shorta
17%
Draws
13%
Al-Mergheni
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Shorta have won more games recently than Al-Mergheni.
  • Win probability leans Al Shorta's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Mergheni Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Al-Mergheni
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 9 14
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Al-Mergheni
0:0
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Al Shorta
0:0
Feb 18, 2025 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Al-Mergheni
1:1
Jan 27, 2025 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Al Shorta
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 67 / 100
Al-Mergheni 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Al-Mergheni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Shorta scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Al-Mergheni conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Al Shorta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Al-Mergheni
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Mergheni83419:613
2Hilal Alsahil82607:512
3Al Shorta82338:89
4Al Hilal Manaqil82338:79
5Hay al-Arab82248:148
6Wad Nobawi00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh Obeid1061318:1219
2Zamala Ruwaba1045116:1117
3Rabita Kosti103528:914
4Hilal El-Fasher1033414:1412
5Haidob Al Nuhod1033410:1312
6Merikh Nyala101369:166
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hay Al Wadi63306:312
2Umm Mughad61505:48
3Al-Ahly Merowe61322:36
4Kober61143:64
5Al Zoma00000:00
6Tuti00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani851211:616
2Alamal SC Atbara835011:714
3Ahli Khartoum82338:109
4Alfalah Atbra82337:99
5Ahli Shendi81252:75