Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Shorta vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Al Mawas M.
35' Event
Moumouni B.
72' Event
Ramadhan W.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Shorta
39%
Draws
31%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Shorta haven't matched Al Quwa Al Jawiya's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 68%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 22
Draws 9 6
Losses 3 1
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3:3
Jan 17, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Shorta
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
4:0
Jan 30, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Shorta
1:2
Jul 10, 2024 Iraq Cup
Al Shorta vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mawas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moumouni B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramadhan W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 41 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Al Quwa Al Jawiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Shorta scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Shorta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966