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Stadium Background

Al Shorta vs Al Zawraa

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ahmed H.
29' Event
Ahmed H.
66' Event
Al Mawas M.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Shorta and Al Zawraa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Zawraa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Al Shorta
22%
Draws
18%
Al Zawraa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Shorta come out ahead of Al Zawraa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Shorta's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 68%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Al Zawraa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Zawraa
1:2
Feb 26, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta
1:2
Apr 22, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Zawraa
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta
0:0
Jul 14, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Shorta
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shorta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 68 / 100
Al Zawraa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Al Zawraa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shorta scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Al Zawraa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Shorta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Al Zawraa
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Minaa
28 May
Al Karkh
0 : 2
Al Shorta
20 May
Al Shorta
0 : 2
Erbil
15 May
Diyala
0 : 2
Al Shorta
10 May
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 6

Al Zawraa

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Najaf
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
27 May
Al Zawraa
0 : 1
Al Naft
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
14 May
Al Zawraa
1 : 1
Al-Qassim
10 May
Al Minaa
0 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)