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Al Shorta vs Hay al Arab - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hay al Arab in this Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hay al Arab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Shorta
35%
Draws
32%
Hay al Arab
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Hay al Arab at 1.14 per game, Al Shorta at 1.03.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Al Shorta taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hay al Arab have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 20%
Hay al Arab Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Hay al Arab
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2025 Premier League
Hay al Arab vs Al Shorta
2:1
Jan 19, 2025 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Hay al Arab
0:1
Feb 25, 2023 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Hay al Arab
2:2
Oct 15, 2022 Premier League
Hay al Arab vs Al Shorta
2:1
Jul 12, 2022 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Hay al Arab
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 49 / 100
Hay al Arab 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Hay al Arab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shorta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shorta's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Hay al Arab has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Shorta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Hay al Arab
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.17
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
14 Feb
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Kober
11 Feb
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
07 Feb
Al Shorta
2 : 2
Al Taqadom
04 Feb
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman II
28 Jan
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Mergheni
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Hay al Arab

(Away)
14 Feb
Hay al Arab
1 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
11 Feb
Hay al Arab
2 : 1
Al Shorta
06 Feb
Hay al Arab
1 : 2
Al Hilal Manaqil
03 Feb
Hay al Arab
1 : 2
Al Mergheni
24 Jan
Hilal Alsahil
1 : 1
Hay al Arab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Mergheni 8 3 4 1 9:6 13
2 Hilal Alsahil 8 2 6 0 7:5 12
3 Al Shorta 8 2 3 3 8:8 9
4 Al Hilal Manaqil 8 2 3 3 8:7 9
5 Hay al Arab 8 2 2 4 8:14 8
6 Wad Nobawi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Merreikh Obeid 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
2 Zamala Ruwaba 10 4 5 1 16:11 17
3 Rabita Kosti 10 3 5 2 8:9 14
4 Hilal El-Fasher 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
5 Haidob Al Nuhod 10 3 3 4 10:13 12
6 Merikh Nyala 10 1 3 6 9:16 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hay Al Wadi 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
2 Umm Mughad 6 1 5 0 5:4 8
3 Al Ahly Merowe 6 1 3 2 2:3 6
4 Kober 6 1 1 4 3:6 4
5 Al Zoma 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Tuti 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Madani 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
2 Alamal SC Atbara 8 3 5 0 11:7 14
3 Ahli Khartoum 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
4 Alfalah Atbra 8 2 3 3 7:9 9
5 Ahli Shendi 8 1 2 5 2:7 5
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)