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Al Shorta vs Newroz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Shorta host Newroz in the Stars League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Shorta have averaged 1.66 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Newroz's 1.47 scored and 0.83 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Shorta slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.00, favoring Al Shorta. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Al Shorta
30%
Draws
38%
Newroz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newroz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Newroz haven't matched Al Shorta's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Newroz a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 20%
Newroz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Newroz
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.66 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Shorta
0:3
Sep 25, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Newroz
3:2
May 3, 2025 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Shorta
0:1
Jan 24, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Newroz
2:2
May 4, 2024 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Newroz
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 28 / 100
Newroz 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Newroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newroz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shorta scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Al Shorta went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Newroz conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Newroz
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
18 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Karkh
13 Oct
East Bengal
2 : 3
Al Shorta
08 Oct
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Shorta
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
16 Sept
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Seeb
Page 1 of 7

Newroz

(Away)
16 Oct
Newroz
2 : 0
Al Minaa
09 Oct
Zakho
0 : 1
Newroz
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0
Newroz
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2
Newroz
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0
Al Mosul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 10 7 3 0 17:7 24
2 Newroz 10 6 3 1 16:4 21
3 Al Naft 10 6 3 1 13:5 21
4 Al Zawraa 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Erbil 10 5 3 2 13:5 18
6 Al Shorta 10 4 5 1 10:5 17
7 Al Golan 10 3 5 2 10:9 14
8 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 10 2 6 2 14:12 12
9 Duhok 10 2 6 2 14:13 12
10 Diyala 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
11 Al Minaa 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
12 Ghaz Al Shamal 10 2 5 3 5:7 11
13 Al Talaba 10 2 5 3 10:14 11
14 Al Mosul 10 3 2 5 10:15 11
15 Zakho 10 2 3 5 7:13 9
16 Al Gharraf 10 2 3 5 7:14 9
17 Al Karkh 10 2 2 6 14:17 8
18 Al Kahraba 10 1 5 4 6:11 8
19 Naft Missan 10 1 5 4 7:14 8
20 Karbala 10 1 3 6 7:17 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)