Sport Picks

Iraq

Super League 2022/2023

Al Zawraa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Sinaa play Al Zawraa in the Super League 2022/2023. Al Zawraa are favorites here. Recently, Al Sinaa averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Al Zawraa averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Al Sinaa won 0, Al Zawraa won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 12, 2023 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Al Sinaa and 1.18 for Al Zawraa. This points to a Al Zawraa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

Al Sinaa

17%

Draws

64%

Al Zawraa

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Al Sinaa picked up more points recently compared to Al Zawraa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Al Sinaa Clean Sheet 20%

Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Sinaa	Al Zawraa
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	14
Draws	5	10
Losses	18	6
Goals Scored	0.83	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.47	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Stars League

Al Sinaa vs Al Zawraa

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Oct 9, 2022 Stars League

Al Zawraa vs Al Sinaa

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Feb 10, 2022 Stars League

Al Sinaa vs Al Zawraa

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Sep 21, 2021 Stars League

Al Zawraa vs Al Sinaa

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Jun 27, 2013 Stars League

Al Zawraa vs Al Sinaa

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sinaa Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer Shwan N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Karim H. A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sinaa 21 / 100

Al Zawraa 61 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Sinaa Al Zawraa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (2)

Secondary Pick Al Zawraa & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +72.7%

9.09

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Sinaa attacking → ← attacking Al Zawraa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sinaa scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Al Zawraa let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Al Sinaa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Zawraa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 52

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Shorta	38	25	7	6	63:24	82
2	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	38	23	9	6	62:26	78
3	Al Zawraa	38	18	14	6	50:32	68
4	Al Talaba	38	19	9	10	52:39	66
5	Al Kahraba	38	17	11	10	51:38	62
6	Erbil	38	16	10	12	44:39	58
7	Al Najaf	38	15	11	12	46:41	56
8	Karbala	38	15	11	12	39:34	56
9	Duhok	38	12	16	10	37:39	52
10	Al Karkh	38	13	12	13	40:36	51
11	Newroz	38	14	9	15	45:43	51
12	Naft Missan	38	13	12	13	42:54	51
13	Al-Hudod	38	10	19	9	40:37	49
14	Naft Al-Basra	38	9	16	13	34:40	43
15	Zakho	38	9	15	14	39:42	42
16	Al Naft	38	9	13	16	39:50	40
17	Al-Qassim	38	9	12	17	31:43	39
18	Al Wasat	38	5	21	12	26:34	36
19	Al Sinaa	38	7	7	24	26:54	28
20	Al Diwaniya	38	2	6	30	25:86	12