Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Taee vs Al Jubail

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Prince Abdul Aziz bin Masaad Stadium, Haʼil
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Al Jubaya A. In: Al Shammari M.
Out: Al Jubaya A.
46'
Sub
Halilovic D. In: Al Shamlan R.
Out: Halilovic D.
58' Event
Jonata Machado

AI Match Summary

Al Taee in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Taee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Al Taee
15%
Draws
0%
Al Jubail
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Taee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Taee have won more games recently than Al Jubail.
  • Al Taee are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Al Taee have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Al Taee Clean Sheet 68%
Al Jubail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Taee Al Jubail
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.53 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Division 1
Al Taee vs Al Jubail
4:0
Oct 22, 2025 Division 1
Al Jubail vs Al Taee
1:4
May 18, 2025 Division 1
Al Taee vs Al Jubail
1:0
Jan 17, 2025 Division 1
Al Jubail vs Al Taee
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Taee Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonata Machado
1 Goals
Assists Leader Knoll T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Al Jubail Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Taee 95 / 100
Al Jubail 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Taee Al Jubail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Taee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Jubail conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Al Jubail's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Al Taee scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Taee VS Al Jubail
1.13 Goals Scored 0.67
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Taee

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Taee
3 : 1
Al Bukiryah
13 Sept
Al Taee
0 : 0
Al Zulfi
08 Sept
Al Anwar
2 : 0
Al Taee
31 Aug
Al Taee
2 : 1
Al Jandal
26 Aug
Al Adalah
3 : 4
Al Taee
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Al Jubail

(Away)
13 May
Al Adalah
2 : 0
Al Jubail
09 May
Al Jubail
0 : 2
Al-Ula
01 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
4 : 3
Al Jubail
26 Apr
Al Jubail
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
20 Apr
Al Jubail
0 : 2
Al Wehda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)