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Al Taliya vs Damascus Al-Ahli

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Antwi R.
70' Event
Khankan S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Taliya
39%
Draws
30%
Damascus Al-Ahli
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Taliya have won more games recently than Damascus Al-Ahli.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Al Taliya Clean Sheet 23%
Damascus Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Taliya Damascus Al-Ahli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Premier League
Al Taliya vs Damascus Al-Ahli
1:1
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Taliya
0:0
Jun 9, 2023 Syria Cup
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Taliya
1:0
Apr 13, 2023 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Taliya
0:0
Sep 30, 2022 Premier League
Al Taliya vs Damascus Al-Ahli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Taliya Compare

Top Goalscorer Khankan S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Damascus Al-Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Antwi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Taliya 33 / 100
Damascus Al-Ahli 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Taliya Damascus Al-Ahli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damascus Al-Ahli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Al Taliya scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Al Taliya stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Taliya VS Damascus Al-Ahli
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117