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Al Thaid vs Al Jazira Hamra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

Division 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Thaid host Al Jazira Hamra in the Division 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Al Thaid have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Al Jazira Hamra's 1.17 scored and 1.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Thaid have won 3 to Al Jazira Hamra's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.13, favoring Al Thaid. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Thaid
20%
Draws
29%
Al Jazira Hamra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Thaid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Thaid come out ahead of Al Jazira Hamra on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Thaid a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Thaid Clean Sheet 20%
Al Jazira Hamra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Thaid Al Jazira Hamra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.48 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Division 1
Al Thaid vs Al Jazira Hamra
1:0
Dec 26, 2025 Division 1
Al Jazira Hamra vs Al Thaid
0:4
May 24, 2025 Division 1
Al Jazira Hamra vs Al Thaid
1:2
Jan 26, 2025 Division 1
Al Thaid vs Al Jazira Hamra
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Division 1
Al Jazira Hamra vs Al Thaid
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Thaid 67 / 100
Al Jazira Hamra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Thaid Al Jazira Hamra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Thaid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Thaid scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Al Jazira Hamra conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Al Thaid has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Thaid VS Al Jazira Hamra
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Thaid

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Ittifaq
1 : 0
Al Thaid
28 Sept
Al Arabi (UAE)
2 : 0
Al Thaid
22 Sept
Al Hamriyah
1 : 2
Al Thaid
11 Sept
Al Thaid
2 : 0
Dibba Al Fujairah
04 Sept
Gulf United
2 : 3
Al Thaid
Page 1 of 6

Al Jazira Hamra

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Jazira Hamra
2 : 2
Dibba Al Fujairah
29 Sept
Al Fujairah
4 : 1
Al Jazira Hamra
23 Sept
Al Jazira Hamra
1 : 0
Forte Virtus
18 Sept
Gulf United
2 : 0
Al Jazira Hamra
11 Sept
Al Jazira Hamra
2 : 2
Dubai City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Arabi (UAE) 6 5 1 0 17:8 16
2 Al Thaid 5 3 1 1 11:5 10
3 Dibba Al Fujairah 5 3 1 1 13:9 10
4 Emirates Club 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
5 Al Urooba 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
6 Al Fujairah 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
7 Forte Virtus 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
8 Al Hamriyah 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
9 Al Bataeh 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Dibba Al Hisn 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
11 Gulf United 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
12 Palm City 5 2 0 3 10:14 6
13 Al Ittifaq 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
14 Dubai City 6 1 1 4 8:16 4
15 Al Jazira Hamra 6 0 3 3 4:14 3
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