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Al Tirsana vs Abi Al Ashar

Libya Libya

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Tirsana play Abi Al Ashar in the Premier League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Tirsana averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Abi Al Ashar averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Al Tirsana won 1, Abi Al Ashar won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 12, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Al Tirsana and 0.94 for Abi Al Ashar. This points to a Al Tirsana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Tirsana
34%
Draws
28%
Abi Al Ashar
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Al Tirsana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Tirsana picked up more points recently compared to Abi Al Ashar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Al Tirsana Clean Sheet 24%
Abi Al Ashar Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Tirsana Abi Al Ashar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.26 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 Premier League
Abi Al Ashar vs Al Tirsana
1:2
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Al Tirsana vs Abi Al Ashar
1:1
Jun 28, 2025 Premier League
Al Tirsana vs Abi Al Ashar
0:1
Jun 24, 2025 Premier League
Abi Al Ashar vs Al Tirsana
0:0
Aug 11, 2016 Premier League
Abi Al Ashar vs Al Tirsana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Tirsana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Abi Al Ashar Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghoneimy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Tirsana 39 / 100
Abi Al Ashar 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Tirsana Abi Al Ashar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Tirsana or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Tirsana attacking → ← attacking Abi Al Ashar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Tirsana scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Abi Al Ashar let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Al Tirsana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Abi Al Ashar lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 27
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75