Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Ula vs Al Adalah

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Medina
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Al Saeed M.
22'
Al Jamman A.
33' Event
Guanca C.
Assist: Al Shamrani K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Al-Ula and Al Adalah finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Ula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Al-Ula
15%
Draws
27%
Al Adalah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Ula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Ula come out ahead of Al Adalah on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al-Ula a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Al-Ula Clean Sheet 68%
Al Adalah Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ula Al Adalah
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 20 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.78 1.39
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Division 1
Al-Ula vs Al Adalah
4:1
Nov 27, 2025 Division 1
Al Adalah vs Al-Ula
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Ula Compare

Top Goalscorer Guanca C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koulouris E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Adalah Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ula 95 / 100
Al Adalah 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ula Al Adalah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Ula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Adalah conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Al-Ula has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Al-Ula scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ula VS Al Adalah
1 Goals Scored 1.29
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Ula

(Home)
14 Sept
Al-Ula
3 : 0
Jeddah Club
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al-Ula
2 : 0
Al Raed
28 Aug
Al Anwar
0 : 1
Al-Ula
23 Aug
Al-Ula
3 : 1
Al Jabalain
Page 1 of 7

Al Adalah

(Away)
20 Sept
Damac
3 : 2
Al Adalah
15 Sept
Al Adalah
1 : 0
Al Jandal
07 Sept
Al Adalah
1 : 1
Al Saqer
31 Aug
Al Bukiryah
0 : 1
Al Adalah
26 Aug
Al Adalah
3 : 4
Al Taee
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)