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Stadium Background

Al-Ula vs Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Udo S. In: Ahoudo G.
Out: Udo S.
38'
Frimpong E.
46'
Sub
Frimpong E. In: Ciss A.
Out: Frimpong E.

AI Match Summary

Al-Ula host Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) in the Division 1. Al-Ula go into this one as the clear favorite. Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) have shipped 2.63 goals a game lately, while Al-Ula have conceded 0.75 and scored 2.13. Head-to-head, Al-Ula have won 2 to Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)'s 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 3, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Al-Ula. Al-Ula in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Ula
6%
Draws
4%
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Ula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Ula has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Al-Ula.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Al-Ula Clean Sheet 68%
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ula Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 22
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Division 1
Al-Ula vs Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Division 1
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) vs Al-Ula
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Ula Compare

Top Goalscorer Michael
1 Goals
Assists Leader Danilo Barbosa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Compare

Top Goalscorer Panom G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ula 95 / 100
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ula Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ula scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al-Ula went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ula VS Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Abha34245564:3577
2Al-Faisaly342110376:3273
3Al Diriyah34226679:3972
4Al-Ula34218572:3371
5Al Orubah34205956:3865
6Al Jabalain34178959:3859
7Al Raed3414101064:4652
8Al Zulfi3411121146:4545
9Al Taee341281448:5244
10Al Wehda341271552:5843
11Al Bukiryah341271536:4843
12Al Anwar3410111353:5441
13Jeddah Club349121334:5139
14Al Adalah34891744:7033
15Al Jandal34881834:6032
16Al Batin34572239:6922
17Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)34562324:6721
18Al Jubail34352628:7314