Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Quioto R.
Assist: Al Majhad M.
18'
18'
Al Dohaim A.
23'
23'
Barbet Y.
Assist: Michael
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al-Ula
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al-Ula carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Al-Ula's way, sitting at 90%.
- Al-Ula have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Al-Ula, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al-Ula Clean Sheet 20%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Ula | Al Fateh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 20 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 King Cup
Al-Ula vs Al Fateh
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al-Ula Compare
Top Goalscorer Quioto R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barbet Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Al Fateh Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Ula 85 / 100
Al Fateh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Ula Al Fateh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al-Ula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Fateh let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Al-Ula has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Al-Ula scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Al-Ula VS Al Fateh
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Ula
(Home) 14 Sept
Al-Ula
3 : 0 Jeddah Club
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1 Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al-Ula
2 : 0 Al Raed
28 Aug
Al Anwar
0 : 1 Al-Ula
23 Aug
Al-Ula
3 : 1 Al Jabalain
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Al-Ula
3 : 0 Jeddah Club
02 Sept
Al-Ula
2 : 0 Al Raed
23 Aug
Al-Ula
3 : 1 Al Jabalain
19 Aug
Al-Ula
3 : 0 Al Fateh
29 Jul
Al-Ula
0 : 3 Villarreal
Page 1 of 3
Al Fateh
(Away) 13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2 Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2 Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0 Al Fateh
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1 Al Fateh
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2 Al Fateh
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0 Al Fateh
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1 Al Fateh
19 Aug
Al-Ula
3 : 0 Al Fateh
15 Aug
Al Nassr
3 : 0 Al Fateh
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Al Raed 0
Al Hilal 2
Al Bukiryah 2
Al Hazem Rass 3
Al Orubah 1
Abha 0
Al Okhdood 2
Al Khaleej 0
Al-Ula 3
Al Fateh 0
Al Anwar 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Al Zulfi 0
Al Riyadh 2
Al Adalah 0
Al Fayha 2
Al Jabalain 1
Al Ettifaq FC 0
Al Najma 0
Al Ittihad 3
Al Diriyah 1
Al Nassr 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Kholood 5
Damac 0
Al Taawon 3
Al Wehda 3
Al Shabab 2
Al Taee 0
Al Qadsiah 5
Al-Faisaly 1
Neom SC 3
1/8-finals
Al Hilal -
Al Hazem Rass -
Al Orubah -
Al Okhdood -
Al-Ula -
Al Ahli SC -
Al Riyadh -
Al Fayha -
Al Jabalain -
Al Ittihad -
Al Nassr -
Al Kholood -
Al Taawon -
Al Wehda -
Al Qadsiah -
Neom SC -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
