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Al Ula vs Al Raed - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Medina
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Sow S.
(Penalty)
37'
Al Harbi Y.
39' Event
Quioto R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Al Ula and Al Raed finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Al Ula
20%
Draws
28%
Al Raed
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ula come out ahead of Al Raed on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Ula's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Ula have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Ula Clean Sheet 20%
Al Raed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ula Al Raed
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Division 1
Al Ula vs Al Raed
2:0
May 2, 2026 Division 1
Al Ula vs Al Raed
2:1
Jan 7, 2026 Division 1
Al Raed vs Al Ula
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ula Compare

Top Goalscorer Quioto R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Al Raed Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ula 85 / 100
Al Raed 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ula Al Raed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ula's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Ula remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Al Raed has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ula VS Al Raed
2.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ula

(Home)
19 Oct
Al Zulfi
1 : 1
Al Ula
08 Oct
Al Okhdood
1 : 5
Al Ula
14 Sept
Al Ula
3 : 0
Jeddah Club
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al Ula
02 Sept
Al Ula
2 : 0
Al Raed
Page 1 of 6

Al Raed

(Away)
19 Oct
Al Raed
0 : 2
Al Saqer
14 Oct
Al Raed
1 : 0
Jeddah Club
19 Sept
Al Zulfi
4 : 0
Al Raed
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Raed
09 Sept
Al Raed
3 : 0
Al Jeel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ula 7 6 1 0 16:3 19
2 Al Jabalain 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Al Zulfi 8 3 5 0 10:2 14
4 Al Najma 8 3 4 1 14:9 13
5 Al Wehda 8 2 6 0 16:9 12
6 Al Adalah 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
7 Damac 8 3 3 2 11:10 12
8 Al Anwar 8 2 5 1 7:5 11
9 Al Saqer 8 2 4 2 7:6 10
10 Al Raed 8 3 1 4 8:12 10
11 Al Taee 8 3 1 4 11:19 10
12 Al Orubah 7 1 5 1 5:5 8
13 Jeddah Club 8 2 2 4 6:9 8
14 Al Okhdood 8 1 4 3 10:16 7
15 Al Jandal 7 1 3 3 10:10 6
16 Hajer 7 1 3 3 6:11 6
17 Al Bukiryah 8 0 3 5 5:14 3
18 Al Jeel 6 0 2 4 0:7 2
Promotion - Saudi Professional League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)