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Al Wakra vs Al Duhail - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah
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Match Events

24'
Bamba I.
42'
Berkane R.
46'
Sub
Gelson Dala In: Luis Alberto
Out: Gelson Dala

AI Match Summary

Al Duhail in this QSL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Duhail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Wakra
35%
Draws
42%
Al Duhail
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Duhail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Duhail lately — more wins on the board than Al Wakra.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Al Duhail taking it.
  • Regular QSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Duhail here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 10%
Al Duhail Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wakra Al Duhail
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al Duhail
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 QSL
Al Duhail vs Al Wakra
0:1
Feb 7, 2025 QSL
Al Duhail vs Al Wakra
2:0
Dec 13, 2024 QSL Cup
Al Duhail vs Al Wakra
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al Duhail
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wakra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Duhail Compare

Top Goalscorer Verratti M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wakra 14 / 100
Al Duhail 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wakra Al Duhail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Duhail Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Wakra's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Duhail conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Al Wakra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Wakra VS Al Duhail
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wakra

(Home)
28 Sept
Al Kharitiyath
1 : 1
Al Wakra
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
27 Aug
Al Wakra
1 : 2
Al Rayyan
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Al Duhail

(Away)
28 Sept
Al Shahaniya
1 : 3
Al Duhail
21 Sept
Al Duhail
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al Duhail
1 : 1
Al Shahaniya
05 Sept
Al Rayyan
1 : 1
Al Duhail
29 Aug
Al Duhail
1 : 1
Al Arabi (Qatar)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)