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Al Wakra vs Al Kharitiyath - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup 2025/2026 Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah
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Match Events

45' Event
de Tomas R.
57'
Ali A.
57'
Ali A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Wakra
35%
Draws
28%
Al Kharitiyath
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Wakra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Al Kharitiyath carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Al Kharitiyath arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Kharitiyath, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 19%
Al Kharitiyath Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wakra Al Kharitiyath
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Kharitiyath vs Al Wakra
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Wakra vs Al Kharitiyath
1:1
Apr 10, 2021 QSL
Al Kharitiyath vs Al Wakra
0:2
Jan 25, 2021 Emir Cup
Al Wakra vs Al Kharitiyath
1:2
Dec 28, 2020 QSL
Al Wakra vs Al Kharitiyath
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wakra Compare

Top Goalscorer de Tomas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Kharitiyath Compare

Top Goalscorer Gele J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wakra 36 / 100
Al Kharitiyath 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wakra Al Kharitiyath

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Kharitiyath Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Wakra scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Al Kharitiyath let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Al Wakra went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Wakra VS Al Kharitiyath
1.25 Goals Scored 0.71
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Wakra

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Wakra
3 : 2
Al Gharafa
28 Sept
Al Kharitiyath
1 : 1
Al Wakra
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
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Al Kharitiyath

(Away)
28 Sept
Al Kharitiyath
1 : 1
Al Wakra
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0
Al Kharitiyath
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Kharitiyath
3 : 1
Al Khor
24 Aug
Shamal 2
0 : 0
Al Kharitiyath
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 10 8 1 1 32:17 25
2 Umm-Salal 10 6 2 2 26:17 20
3 Muaither SC 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 10 6 1 3 27:16 19
5 Al Waab 10 5 3 2 16:11 18
6 Al Markhiya 10 5 3 2 13:12 18
7 Al Sailiya 10 6 0 4 16:17 18
8 Al Shahaniya 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
9 Shamal 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
10 Al Bidda 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
11 Al Khor 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
12 Al Mesaimeer 10 3 4 3 18:17 13
13 Qatar SC 10 4 1 5 23:23 13
14 Al Kharitiyath 10 4 1 5 19:20 13
15 Al Ahli 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
16 Al Duhail 10 2 3 5 4:17 9
17 Lusail 10 1 4 5 15:26 7
18 Al Wakra 10 1 3 6 17:22 6
19 Al Gharafa 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
20 Al Sadd 10 1 2 7 18:31 5
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)