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Al Wasat vs Al Zawraa

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Wasat play Al Zawraa in the Stars League 2023/2024. Al Zawraa are favorites here. Recently, Al Wasat averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Al Zawraa averaged 1.51 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Al Wasat won 0, Al Zawraa won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 22, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Al Wasat and 1.18 for Al Zawraa. This points to a Al Zawraa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Al Wasat
31%
Draws
59%
Al Zawraa
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Wasat picked up more points recently compared to Al Zawraa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Al Wasat Clean Sheet 20%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Wasat Al Zawraa
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 1 21
Draws 9 12
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.73 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2024 Stars League
Al Wasat vs Al Zawraa
0:1
Dec 27, 2023 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Wasat
2:0
May 5, 2023 Stars League
Al Wasat vs Al Zawraa
2:2
Dec 5, 2022 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Wasat
1:0
Jun 8, 2022 Stars League
Al Wasat vs Al Zawraa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Wasat Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Al Zawraa Compare

Top Goalscorer John C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Wasat 13 / 100
Al Zawraa 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Wasat Al Zawraa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Al Zawraa & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +400%
50.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Wasat attacking → ← attacking Al Zawraa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Wasat scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Al Zawraa let in goals in 54% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Al Wasat went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Al Zawraa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 75
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Shorta38269376:3687
2Al Quwa Al Jawiya382410468:3282
3Al Zawraa382112554:2375
4Al Najaf381910945:2867
5Zakho381716537:2067
6Duhok381416841:3358
7Newroz3815111261:4956
8Al Talaba3813141140:3853
9Al-Hudod3813111438:4750
10Naft Missan3810171141:4047
11Al Naft3810161237:4446
12Al Minaa3810121638:5942
13Al Kahraba388171347:5141
14Erbil389141546:5041
15Al Karkh387181336:4539
16Karbala388131739:6037
17Al-Qassim388141642:5335
18Naft Al-Basra388102029:4634
19Baghdad386131933:5331
20Al Wasat381132424:6516